Colorado Senate debate
DENVER, CO - OCTOBER 9 : Republican U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner, right, and Democratic former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper elbow bump after the first live televised U.S. Senate debate at Denver7 studio in Denver, Colorado on Friday. October 9, 2020. (Photo by Hyoung Chang/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images)

Democratic challenger John Hickenlooper maintains his lead in the matchup for Colorado’s Senate Race.  The latest PoliticalIQ poll shows Hickenlooper attracting 51% of Likely Colorado Voters as compared to 42% who back Incumbent Republican Senator Cory Gardner.  The poll, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, shows 3% prefer some other candidate while 4% are unsure.  The survey has a margin of error of 3.5%.

As is the case with Former Vice President Biden in Colorado, Hickenlooper is polling strongly among constituencies critical to winning the nomination. Hickenlooper leads among women 56%-35%, while attracting 62% of Moderate Voters and 55% of who are Not Affiliated with either major party.

When asked about the Supreme Court, Colorado voters seem poised to support President Trump’s latest nominee, Amy Coney Barrett.  46%  approve of Barrett’s nomination to the High Court, while 35% oppose and 19% are unsure.  46% of voters have a very or somewhat favorable view of Barrett, with 33% expressing a negative view. Barrett’s nomination is expected to move to the full Senate floor as early as Friday.

And finally, when asked about the pandemic, most in Colorado think we are not yet out of the woods.  45% believe the worst is yet to come, 31% believe the worst is behind us, and 24% are unsure. 

PoliticalIQ will be releasing new Battleground State Polls every weekday between now and Election Day.  In the 2014 race for Colorado Senate, Gardner narrowly beat incumbent Democrat Mark Udall 48% to 46%.

Methodology

The survey of 800 Likely Colorado Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from October 9-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were randomly selected from a list of Registered Voters and contacted via text or through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the state’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of the Likely Voters either identify as Republican or Lean Republican. Thirty-nine percent (32%) either identify as a Democrat or Lean Democrat. Twenty-three percent (23%) do not identify with either major party.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 3.5 percentage points.