With Joe Biden as President-elect, 48% of Georgia voters believe it is more important to have Republicans control the Senate to serve as a check on the president. However, a Political IQ survey found that 43% take the opposite view. They think it is more important for Democrats to control the Senate so they can work with the president.
A late November survey of Georgia voters found Republican control favored by a 46% to 42% margin.
The latest survey of Likely Voters, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, found that 5% say it doesn’t matter and 3% are not sure.
Ninety-two percent (92%) of Trump voters want Republicans in charge of the Senate. Eighty-six percent (86%) of Biden voters want Democrats to run the Sente.
Among voters who say this election is Very Important to them, 51% prefer Republican control while 44% want the Democrats in Charge.
Overall, in terms of its impact on their own life, 79% of Likely Voters consider the run-off Very Important. That total includes 84% of Republicans, 79% of Democrats, and 67% of others.
Data released earlier showed that 48% of Georgia voters support President Trump’s efforts to challenge the election results in Georgia and other states. An identical 48% are opposed.
Other data shows that Trump and Biden supporters appear equally likely to vote in the January 5 Senate run-off. As was the case in November, Democrats are more likely to vote early and Republicans more likely to vote in-person on Election Day.
Over the next few days, Political IQ will release additional data from the survey. That will include update information on the favorability ratings of the candidates, which party voters want to control the Senate,and the horse race. We are deliberately presenting the horse race results last because they are the least important part of the survey yet always garner the most attention.
This is consistent with an approach advocated by Scott Rasmussen to address the deep problems plaguing the election forecasting industry. He suggested that public pollsters should focus less on the horse race and “offer more data designed to help forecasters and politicians understand America.” He added that polls “should offer a voter-centric view of the race, measuring underlying attitudes more than attempting to define likely voters. We should certainly ask about the horse race, but never forget that elections are supposed to be more about the voters than the candidates.”
The survey of 1,417 Likely Voters in Georgia was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from December 8-14, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text. They were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Additionally, 74 of the respondents were contacted via automated phone polling techniques. For purposes of this survey, Likely Voters were defined as those who say they have voted, will definitely vote, or are very likely to vote. Certain other screening questions were used as well. Quotas were applied to a larger sample of 1,696 Registered Voters which was then lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the state’s population. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.