Raphael Warnock

August 8, 2022

The close race between Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) and Republican challenger Herschel Walker could lead to a situation in which a January runoff in Georgia decides control of the Senate for the second consecutive time, Politico reports. Analysts from across the political spectrum expect the race to be close. Two polls from late July showed Warnock leading the former NFL star 48-45 and 46-42, respectively. In both cases, the pastor-turned-senator's edge was within the margin of error. The problem is, thanks to the roughly 3 percent of voters who favor Libertarian Chase Oliver, neither major party candidate is on track to clear 50 percent. In that case, Warnock and Walker would face one another in a runoff in January. That's exactly what happened last election cycle, when Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) defeated then-Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) and Warnock beat out then-Sen. David Purdue (R) in a special election. These two narrow victories, coming on the heels of President Biden's win in November, handed Democrats their current trifecta. Republicans are almost certain to take back the House in November but face a far narrower path to reclaiming the Senate. Depending on how races in states like Wisconsin, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Ohio, and Pennsylvania turn out, there's a strong possibility that, come January, we might all be obsessively hitting "refresh" on the Georgia election results page once again.

August 8, 2022

The close race between Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) and Republican challenger Herschel Walker could lead to a situation in which a January runoff in Georgia decides control of the Senate for the second consecutive time, Politico reports. Analysts from across the political spectrum expect the race to be close. Two polls from late July showed Warnock leading the former NFL star 48-45 and 46-42, respectively. In both cases, the pastor-turned-senator's edge was within the margin of error. The problem is, thanks to the roughly 3 percent of voters who favor Libertarian Chase Oliver, neither major party candidate is on track to clear 50 percent. In that case, Warnock and Walker would face one another in a runoff in January. That's exactly what happened last election cycle, when Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) defeated then-Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) and Warnock beat out then-Sen. David Purdue (R) in a special election. These two narrow victories, coming on the heels of President Biden's win in November, handed Democrats their current trifecta. Republicans are almost certain to take back the House in November but face a far narrower path to reclaiming the Senate. Depending on how races in states like Wisconsin, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Ohio, and Pennsylvania turn out, there's a strong possibility that, come January, we might all be obsessively hitting "refresh" on the Georgia election results page once again.

February 15, 2022

As the 2022 midterms approach, Black Senate candidates have emerged as the top fundraisers for both parties, The Boston Globe reported Monday. Per the Globe, which based its report on data from the Federal Election Commission, "For the last three quarters, Black candidates have been the top fund-raisers in their respective parties. And four Black candidates ranked among the top five money-raisers for the last three months of 2021." These four spots were held by two Democrats — Sen. Raphael Warnock (Ga.) and Val Demmings — and two Republicans — Sen. Tim Scott (S.C.) and Harschel Walker. Warnock tops the list with $9.8 million, followed by white Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) with $8.9 million, Demmings ($7.2 million), Scott ($7 million), and Walker ($5.3 million). Warnock and Scott are incumbents, while Walker and Demmings are challenging Warnock and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), respectively. Walker, a Trump-endorsed former NFL star, and Warnock, who pastored Martin Luther King Jr.'s church before winning his seat in a special election last year, are neck-and-neck in the polls. Most sources consider Scott's seat to be safe. Demmings, the only Black woman on the list, trails Rubio by several points.

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